CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b55b86ff6a39b4b1541c64003bebba37dab95dddc76d153f429648e74d2555f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof home, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked home | 1c | 39,203$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed home | 36c | 3,878$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.66 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked home | 16c | 3,091$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.41 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked NEW VISION | 62c | 2,856$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.53 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed home | 37c | 2,703$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed home | 13c | 1,637$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 454 | 39.6%180 W · 274 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed home | 37c | 1,610$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked home | 42c | 1,506$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.51 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed home | 9c | 1,354$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked home | 15c | 1,230$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked NEW VISION | 71c | 1,017$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked NEW VISION | 64c | 1,004$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed home | 46c | 983.66$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed NEW VISION | 60c | 981.15$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.57 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked home | 37c | 672.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked home | 44c | 599.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed home | 3c | 597.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…6db0backed NEW VISION | 56c | 525.36$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…b6cbbacked home | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…5639backed home | 35c | 477.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed home | 10c | 448$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed home | 17c | 435.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed home | 34c | 432.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed home | 17c | 420$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed home | 26c | 409.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed home | 33c | 408$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NEW VISION | 59c | 407.68$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed NEW VISION | 55c | 388.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed home | 5c | 382.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed home | 14c | 361$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed home | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed home | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NEW VISION | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked NEW VISION | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed NEW VISION | 64c | 278.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed home | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed NEW VISION | 61c | 244.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked home | 13c | 219.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NEW VISION | 62c | 201.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed home | 7c | 201.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed home | 7c | 196.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked home | 39c | 173.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed home | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed NEW VISION | 64c | 156.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked home | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed home | 15c | 149.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…038fbacked home | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 127.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed home | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed home | 31c | 124.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked home | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed home | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked home | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked NEW VISION | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…381fbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed home | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed NEW VISION | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed NEW VISION | 63c | 73.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked NEW VISION | 63c | 64.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked NEW VISION | 63c | 63.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…1391backed NEW VISION | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NEW VISION | 54c | 50.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed home | 37c | 47.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed NEW VISION | 41c | 38.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed NEW VISION | 58c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed home | 36c | 33.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed NEW VISION | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed home | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed NEW VISION | 60c | 29.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed home | 45c | 29.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed home | 46c | 27.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed NEW VISION | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked home | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked NEW VISION | 61c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed NEW VISION | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NEW VISION | 76c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerhome won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.