CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0213d914d2bced0ad9eaf4d7f2566715df468a623d0dcd9c4ba5b6075897bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- homeof home, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked home | 25c | 3,336$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed home | 24c | 3,290$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.57 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed NEW VISION | 75c | 1,450$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.21 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed home | 11c | 1,289$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.59 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked NEW VISION | 77c | 1,280$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.24 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked NEW VISION | 78c | 1,206$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.73 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed NEW VISION | 73c | 822.84$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.34 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed NEW VISION | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed home | 30c | 324.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed home | 11c | 315$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 68c | 302.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed home | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed home | 18c | 272$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed home | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NEW VISION | 67c | 193.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed home | 10c | 160$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked NEW VISION | 73c | 137.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed home | 10c | 135$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 68c | 129.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed home | 11c | 127$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed NEW VISION | 77c | 74.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed NEW VISION | 74c | 69.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NEW VISION | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed NEW VISION | 74c | 45.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked home | 28c | 44.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed NEW VISION | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NEW VISION | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NEW VISION | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked NEW VISION | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…f09abacked NEW VISION | 77c | 16.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.