CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1775808f774af1a79a5cceb9be4b43e908a609d76e910d917fee165108b990aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof home, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37d…c735backed home | 30c | 4,305$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.11 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…2aa9backed NEW VISION | 74c | 4,068$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.07 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed home | 29c | 2,931$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed NEW VISION | 69c | 1,801$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.42 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked NEW VISION | 66c | 1,466$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.5 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked NEW VISION | 58c | 829.11$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked home | 15c | 475.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked home | 25c | 407.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…913cbacked home | 37c | 390.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed NEW VISION | 71c | 247.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked home | 29c | 240.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked home | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked home | 14c | 149.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed NEW VISION | 71c | 141.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed home | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…1391backed NEW VISION | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed NEW VISION | 72c | 52.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked NEW VISION | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed NEW VISION | 69c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked NEW VISION | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked NEW VISION | 78c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: home vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerhome won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.