CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f79de0378a7072a7cf1df88fcf73fa20497d9ae51f4e697c969c768e265b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Aurora Young Blood, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 2,920$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 67c | 2,715$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Lilmix | 38c | 1,396$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.56 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Young Blood | 15c | 896.05$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Young Blood | 67c | 749.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 31c | 739.34$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora Young Blood | 41c | 737.02$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 70c | 712.2$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lilmix | 34c | 710.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.16 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora Young Blood | 23c | 556.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 38c | 532.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.27 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Lilmix | 33c | 483.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Aurora Young Blood | 48c | 433.81$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 48c | 424.28$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Lilmix | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Aurora Young Blood | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 384.94$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Lilmix | 33c | 369.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Lilmix | 27c | 361.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.01 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 353.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 339.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Young Blood | 17c | 257.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 233.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 32c | 199.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lilmix | 25c | 199.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Aurora Young Blood | 48c | 186.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Aurora Young Blood | 58c | 169.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Lilmix | 33c | 166.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Lilmix | 33c | 153.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 34c | 153.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Lilmix | 34c | 146.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Aurora Young Blood | 71c | 140.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 139.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Lilmix | 44c | 139.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Lilmix | 42c | 126.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Young Blood | 60c | 122.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Aurora Young Blood | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 53c | 96.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Aurora Young Blood | 61c | 92.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lilmix | 42c | 88.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Lilmix | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Lilmix | 41c | 72.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Lilmix | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 24c | 62.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Lilmix | 33c | 62.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 62.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…e5cabacked Aurora Young Blood | 70c | 60.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Aurora Young Blood | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…7e23backed Lilmix | 30c | 50.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Lilmix | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…3a46backed Aurora Young Blood | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Lilmix | 34c | 44.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…d402backed Lilmix | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 45c | 40.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Aurora Young Blood | 66c | 36.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lilmix | 48c | 36.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Lilmix | 36c | 35.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 67c | 32.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Aurora Young Blood | 67c | 30.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 27.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Aurora Young Blood | 74c | 26.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Aurora Young Blood | 68c | 26.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Aurora Young Blood | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…06eabacked Aurora Young Blood | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.