CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5802e5c6a10612010cc58e65e90376bc2725648af57e4d88a7d5c3697f497381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Aurora Young Blood, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Aurora Young Blood | 64c | 1,283$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.66 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 65c | 877.57$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 35c | 856.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.77 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Lilmix | 56c | 829.07$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 566.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Aurora Young Blood | 58c | 380.97$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 58c | 242.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 67c | 172$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 42c | 148.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Lilmix | 49c | 136.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora Young Blood | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Young Blood | 44c | 86.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Aurora Young Blood | 37c | 86.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lilmix | 74c | 80.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lilmix | 37c | 72.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 38c | 65.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 76c | 44.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Young Blood | 38c | 43.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Lilmix | 35c | 40.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Aurora Young Blood | 45c | 38.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Aurora Young Blood | 31c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Aurora Young Blood | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Lilmix | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lilmix | 65c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Lilmix | 72c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLilmix won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.