TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Mates GCof Gentle Mates GC, ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Gentle Mates GC69c4,421$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.3978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates GC77c2,415$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5254751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby26c1,761$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.861250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed Gentle Mates GC67c1,660$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7811159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby29c1,637$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.87234.7%25 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c1,139$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35313741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Gentle Mates GC65c1,040$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.571872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby34c952.88$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.645341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c768.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.148348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c718.06$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.65738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c700$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21213642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby34c582.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19811843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Gentle Mates GC78c534.66$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.375032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Gentle Mates GC70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Gentle Mates GC73c379.97$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8613848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Gentle Mates GC73c371$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1723055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby26c337.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7314252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c335$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.855147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gentle Mates GC75c333.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0723463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby25c308.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.341540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Gentle Mates GC75c284.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3525660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c280$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.819240.1%77 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby27c277.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.868538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby35c262.86$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c249.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.998951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Gentle Mates GC71c249.96$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4945250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c236.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c212.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.077443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c180.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby37c173.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3516046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby10c170.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby11c147.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby19c147.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.421,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Gentle Mates GC70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8618653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c131.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby35c126.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.242450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby25c79.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby31c77.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.023253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Gentle Mates GC75c76.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2432261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gentle Mates GC69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2527145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c66.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby30c63.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.883225%8 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby37c62.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.354342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby33c62.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5131046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Gentle Mates GC70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.148966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ba…a2e5backed Gentle Mates GC73c40.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Gentle Mates GC70c33.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.077365.8%48 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Gentle Mates GC70c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.76533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed Gentle Mates GC76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Gentle Mates GC68c19.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1763652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Gentle Mates GC70c14.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.312065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.