Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef3313bf411632b9c58f922e7d45a23319d87257254f9c0c3370c1654642848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof WIP Esports, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed F9 EICAR | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed F9 EICAR | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed WIP Esports | 70c | 814.29$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed F9 EICAR | 22c | 540.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked F9 EICAR | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed F9 EICAR | 13c | 446.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed WIP Esports | 70c | 428.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed F9 EICAR | 37c | 406.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 191 | 34.6%66 W · 125 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked WIP Esports | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed WIP Esports | 70c | 361.43$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed F9 EICAR | 29c | 313.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WIP Esports | 63c | 297.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked F9 EICAR | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked WIP Esports | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked F9 EICAR | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WIP Esports | 75c | 199.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed WIP Esports | 69c | 188.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed F9 EICAR | 29c | 171.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed F9 EICAR | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked WIP Esports | 72c | 167.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked WIP Esports | 70c | 143.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked F9 EICAR | 13c | 128.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 705 | 43.5%307 W · 398 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed WIP Esports | 71c | 127.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WIP Esports | 70c | 118.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed F9 EICAR | 23c | 106.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked F9 EICAR | 31c | 101.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked F9 EICAR | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed WIP Esports | 66c | 68.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed WIP Esports | 72c | 62.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed WIP Esports | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed F9 EICAR | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed WIP Esports | 68c | 48.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked WIP Esports | 69c | 47.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked WIP Esports | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 58cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed WIP Esports | 70c | 31.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked WIP Esports | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed WIP Esports | 80c | 24.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: WIP (-1.5) vs F9 EICAR (+1.5)WIP Esports won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.