Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6911131ec7b4845daa0265aad51ad4e6d97fb2cb8fc8f9ac43dbf93e7aa16de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof WIP Esports, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed WIP Esports | 59c | 4,965$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked F9 EICAR | 43c | 2,172$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.32 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked F9 EICAR | 37c | 1,431$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed F9 EICAR | 10c | 741.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed WIP Esports | 60c | 588$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F9 EICAR | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F9 EICAR | 44c | 255.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked F9 EICAR | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed F9 EICAR | 11c | 141.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked F9 EICAR | 34c | 139.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed F9 EICAR | 33c | 125.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed F9 EICAR | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed WIP Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked F9 EICAR | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 40c | 88.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed F9 EICAR | 27c | 86.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked WIP Esports | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed F9 EICAR | 23c | 66.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed F9 EICAR | 17c | 61.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked WIP Esports | 57c | 52.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked F9 EICAR | 35c | 49.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed F9 EICAR | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed F9 EICAR | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked F9 EICAR | 43c | 35.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: WIP (-1.5) vs F9 EICAR (+1.5)WIP Esports won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 PlayoffsWIP Esports won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.