UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcbf56d9cf66c041b702c2fa29246728b7ab2dda2fae1c53599eb149260244c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kody Steeleof Dom Mar Fan, Kody Steele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Dom Mar Fan | 41c | 51,308$21,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,036.45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kody Steele | 72c | 15,488$11,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.11 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Kody Steele | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kody Steele | 61c | 12,345$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.82 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Kody Steele | 59c | 10,006$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.52 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kody Steele | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Dom Mar Fan | 40c | 4,354$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.62 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 4,334$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.27 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 3,825$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.52 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kody Steele | 57c | 3,586$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.14 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…0b5ebacked Dom Mar Fan | 43c | 3,356$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kody Steele | 59c | 3,356$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Kody Steele | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kody Steele | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kody Steele | 58c | 2,655$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.19 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Kody Steele | 71c | 2,500$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.29 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Dom Mar Fan | 1c | 2,488$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kody Steele | 64c | 2,146$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kody Steele | 61c | 2,129$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.31 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Kody Steele | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Dom Mar Fan | 41c | 1,986$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.31 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Dom Mar Fan | 2c | 1,950$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kody Steele | 65c | 1,741$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.47 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dom Mar Fan | 42c | 1,576$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.82 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Dom Mar Fan | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Dom Mar Fan | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Dom Mar Fan | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Dom Mar Fan | 44c | 1,237$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Kody Steele | 58c | 1,204$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kody Steele | 64c | 1,196$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.71 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Kody Steele | 56c | 1,113$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Kody Steele | 58c | 1,032$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.56 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Dom Mar Fan | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dom Mar Fan | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kody Steele | 58c | 963.76$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Kody Steele | 65c | 873.01$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.52 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Dom Mar Fan | 46c | 841.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Dom Mar Fan | 35c | 834.8$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Kody Steele | 59c | 640$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Dom Mar Fan | 25c | 620.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Dom Mar Fan | 41c | 613.62$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.58 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Dom Mar Fan | 40c | 561.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Kody Steele | 64c | 525.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Kody Steele | 59c | 488.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Kody Steele | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Kody Steele | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Kody Steele | 74c | 438.46$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…a365backed Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 422.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dom Mar Fan | 37c | 409.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…4470backed Kody Steele | 67c | 399.76$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Kody Steele | 58c | 391.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…cf71backed Dom Mar Fan | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Dom Mar Fan | 25c | 381.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Kody Steele | 58c | 369.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 356.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Kody Steele | 57c | 349.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kody Steele | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kody Steele | 77c | 337.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Dom Mar Fan | 37c | 326.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Kody Steele | 64c | 317$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Dom Mar Fan | 42c | 297.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…a55ebacked Dom Mar Fan | 37c | 292.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kody Steele | 65c | 284.49$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Dom Mar Fan | 37c | 268.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…5b8abacked Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Kody Steele | 49c | 262.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Dom Mar Fan | 43c | 261.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Kody Steele | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kody Steele | 57c | 249.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Dom Mar Fan | 44c | 248.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Dom Mar Fan | 42c | 246.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…74cebacked Kody Steele | 59c | 245.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Dom Mar Fan | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Dom Mar Fan | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 218.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dom Mar Fan | 11c | 212.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kody Steele | 57c | 206.08$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Kody Steele | 58c | 190.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Dom Mar Fan | 42c | 181.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Dom Mar Fan | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…0d85backed Dom Mar Fan | 37c | 173.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Kody Steele | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Dom Mar Fan | 16c | 148.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Dom Mar Fan | 32c | 144.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Kody Steele | 68c | 144.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 144.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Kody Steele | 37c | 144$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Dom Mar Fan | 34c | 139.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Kody Steele | 59c | 132.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Dom Mar Fan | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Kody Steele | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Dom Mar Fan | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed Kody Steele | 58c | 124.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Kody Steele | 59c | 120.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Dom Mar Fan | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Kody Steele | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.