CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs RoundsGG (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d850dfc1208dbbc9d67584907cabf81b1673e83dde361faed908846052ce94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RoundsGGof SAW, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed RoundsGG | 64c | 3,718$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.45 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 50c | 2,733$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RoundsGG | 24c | 2,541$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.92 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed SAW | 73c | 1,450$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.37 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…4d14backed RoundsGG | 47c | 1,287$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed RoundsGG | 37c | 1,110$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.84 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed RoundsGG | 22c | 884.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.14 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RoundsGG | 31c | 813.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SAW | 48c | 668.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked SAW | 30c | 621.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RoundsGG | 35c | 613.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked SAW | 73c | 604.94$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed SAW | 73c | 567.11$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RoundsGG | 31c | 535.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed SAW | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed RoundsGG | 28c | 500.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 59c | 461.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed SAW | 73c | 416$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked RoundsGG | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 49c | 397.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed SAW | 38c | 391.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked SAW | 72c | 364.34$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.23 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed SAW | 73c | 353.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 40c | 344.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed SAW | 68c | 338.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked SAW | 51c | 303.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed RoundsGG | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed RoundsGG | 28c | 298.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked SAW | 69c | 292.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed SAW | 72c | 275$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed SAW | 69c | 249.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SAW | 63c | 239.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed SAW | 73c | 220.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed SAW | 26c | 215.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked SAW | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed SAW | 72c | 190$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked RoundsGG | 31c | 177.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked SAW | 31c | 174.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RoundsGG | 28c | 155.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked SAW | 68c | 153.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked SAW | 73c | 143.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed RoundsGG | 14c | 142$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed SAW | 67c | 128.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed RoundsGG | 24c | 121.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed SAW | 59c | 117.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked SAW | 36c | 114.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked SAW | 39c | 110.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba4bbacked SAW | 68c | 105.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed SAW | 33c | 105.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked RoundsGG | 28c | 100.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…7d12backed SAW | 47c | 95.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked RoundsGG | 46c | 93.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed RoundsGG | 25c | 88.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…bd88backed SAW | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…5e64backed SAW | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed RoundsGG | 44c | 67.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SAW | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked SAW | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…d0cbbacked SAW | 69c | 57.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed RoundsGG | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed RoundsGG | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed SAW | 72c | 52.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…4ec8backed SAW | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed RoundsGG | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed SAW | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed RoundsGG | 27c | 45.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed SAW | 71c | 44.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked SAW | 73c | 42.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SAW | 26c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SAW | 34c | 34.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SAW | 33c | 32.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SAW | 64c | 26.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed RoundsGG | 40c | 25.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked RoundsGG | 45c | 22.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed SAW | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.