CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: InControl vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c7b2570d7dfee4f6dd30fc7cab4157eefb98f6c1f2a53181621dc88a75390ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- InControlof InControl, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LAG Gaming | 11c | 586.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LAG Gaming | 27c | 585$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InControl | 72c | 499.79$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LAG Gaming | 27c | 239.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LAG Gaming | 23c | 211.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LAG Gaming | 33c | 204.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked InControl | 68c | 202.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed InControl | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 178.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked LAG Gaming | 48c | 157.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LAG Gaming | 25c | 153.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 152.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed InControl | 73c | 135.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked InControl | 70c | 128.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed LAG Gaming | 12c | 122.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked LAG Gaming | 37c | 114.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed InControl | 45c | 107.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LAG Gaming | 44c | 87.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LAG Gaming | 44c | 72.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed InControl | 68c | 63.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked LAG Gaming | 43c | 60.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed InControl | 63c | 56.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed InControl | 70c | 55.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked InControl | 71c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LAG Gaming | 32c | 35.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 20.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: InControl vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: InControl vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerInControl won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.