TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
JiJieHaoof JiJieHao, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO60c10,555$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.425,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO60c3,357$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.462,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed JiJieHao78c2,813$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.161154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed JiJieHao40c2,066$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.022850%14 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed JiJieHao38c2,000$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.461,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked JiJieHao40c1,920$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1545354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TYLOO21c1,193$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TYLOO39c1,050$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.985,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed JiJieHao51c1,016$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3228960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed TYLOO60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed JiJieHao40c987.69$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.629842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed JiJieHao65c967.15$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.114,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked JiJieHao56c921.35$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed JiJieHao40c910.38$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked TYLOO28c829.27$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8329839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO61c817.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed JiJieHao39c799.59$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7538739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed JiJieHao49c796.3$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked TYLOO14c724.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked TYLOO44c704.59$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed JiJieHao44c703.23$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.236747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked JiJieHao40c623.54$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked JiJieHao56c603.11$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.119347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed JiJieHao40c587.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.535839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed JiJieHao40c529.71$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.836245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked JiJieHao45c524.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7622729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TYLOO21c523.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.472,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed TYLOO58c509.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.459959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed JiJieHao40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed JiJieHao39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JiJieHao61c480.09$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.426,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked JiJieHao71c447.72$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.613,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked JiJieHao39c423$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.963243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed JiJieHao62c399.06$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2211947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao44c398$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.885,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed JiJieHao38c391.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8725147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked TYLOO62c385.01$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.714560.7%88 W · 57 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed TYLOO32c379.13$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked TYLOO59c375$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.253850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed JiJieHao41c375$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.253545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed TYLOO55c370$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.521247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed TYLOO34c354.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.824,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed JiJieHao38c351.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4517948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked TYLOO59c339.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008463.1%53 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed JiJieHao40c331.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.683148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed JiJieHao40c330$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19843442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed TYLOO56c325$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18212538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked JiJieHao62c324.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.144240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked JiJieHao41c323.53$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked JiJieHao38c300.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8517142.1%72 W · 99 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed TYLOO57c285.55$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9416947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked JiJieHao38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked TYLOO34c262.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5517236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked TYLOO20c257.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0517930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked JiJieHao39c257.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed JiJieHao38c251.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8521545.6%98 W · 117 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed JiJieHao40c250.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0914044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked TYLOO60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed JiJieHao66c248.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9226075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed TYLOO56c246.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.11,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked JiJieHao42c233.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1819147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed JiJieHao40c205.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed TYLOO48c199.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed TYLOO61c195.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO30c194.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.877,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TYLOO54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.658343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked TYLOO27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked TYLOO61c182$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0210062%62 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed JiJieHao70c170.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4222750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed TYLOO34c169.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.235861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked JiJieHao66c169.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.251,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed JiJieHao39c169.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8520154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked JiJieHao41c160.3$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.512,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao77c158.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.794,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked JiJieHao42c149.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.998842%37 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad17…6593backed TYLOO60c144.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.552040%8 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked JiJieHao41c144.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5327940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45cb…99eebacked JiJieHao49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.864548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed JiJieHao36c138.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8723335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed JiJieHao40c137.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.567946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed TYLOO54c136.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4733354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed JiJieHao40c134.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.191,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked TYLOO58c132.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9932352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed TYLOO62c132$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8474054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked TYLOO47c131.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6226535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed JiJieHao39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked JiJieHao39c129.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3120544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed JiJieHao44c125.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3130951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked JiJieHao40c123.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.318537.6%32 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked TYLOO59c121.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed JiJieHao39c121.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8531241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed JiJieHao57c120.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.492454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed TYLOO52c116.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked TYLOO49c113.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5342149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed TYLOO34c106.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.791,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed TYLOO58c103.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1921950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed TYLOO60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed TYLOO59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed TYLOO29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2939440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed JiJieHao42c99.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.976550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.