TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof FULL SENSE, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked FULL SENSE41c15,033$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.9478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Paper Rex59c10,012$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.7613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked FULL SENSE72c4,704$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.2912155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Paper Rex59c2,320$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf681…9b77backed Paper Rex59c2,170$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex59c2,034$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.0193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed FULL SENSE41c1,294$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Paper Rex32c1,257$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.258444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Paper Rex60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Paper Rex62c955.04$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2114938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FULL SENSE2c860.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…dbe3backed Paper Rex57c855.98$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.73887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex48c846.8$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6645250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed FULL SENSE40c705.57$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE62c672.88$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.191,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked Paper Rex59c594.1$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.663873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex59c512.72$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3324846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked FULL SENSE43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked FULL SENSE34c490$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.012839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed FULL SENSE41c414.62$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FULL SENSE8c385$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex30c359$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.081,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed FULL SENSE46c336.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Paper Rex49c333.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.310956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Paper Rex62c320.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.353281.3%26 W · 6 L+8.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Paper Rex59c259.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6134857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed FULL SENSE40c243.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.414332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FULL SENSE41c236.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7944342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Paper Rex44c228.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.848045%36 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FULL SENSE40c208.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed FULL SENSE41c204.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed FULL SENSE41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex36c176.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.81,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Paper Rex59c165.94$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.475349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FULL SENSE40c159.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9627145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Paper Rex38c140.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.483951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Paper Rex60c137$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0215842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed FULL SENSE75c131.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.176045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…5b6bbacked Paper Rex37c120.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex40c112$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex60c101.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2330652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Paper Rex26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7413336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Paper Rex26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744020%8 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Paper Rex26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7414436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Paper Rex26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…c2b8backed FULL SENSE63c99.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked FULL SENSE37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd642…863fbacked Paper Rex33c76.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Paper Rex59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.728241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Paper Rex72c68.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9927360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed FULL SENSE47c66.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3527847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed FULL SENSE63c65.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416450%32 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked FULL SENSE47c64.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FULL SENSE37c57.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1515931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed FULL SENSE41c56.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13225%8 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FULL SENSE75c55.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.912862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4879…c240backed Paper Rex66c54.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed FULL SENSE31c54.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8635331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Paper Rex47c53.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Paper Rex37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.354231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex53c48.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8377929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex59c47.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4618261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex31c44.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.871,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Paper Rex53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5114454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Paper Rex60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1618948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked Paper Rex46c36.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.862751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1899846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed FULL SENSE65c35.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe6…b510backed Paper Rex59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac38…5534backed FULL SENSE47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a3…09b8backed FULL SENSE71c31.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed FULL SENSE66c31.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.724751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9b…59eabacked FULL SENSE74c30.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.616753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed FULL SENSE42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.614737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f2…1183backed FULL SENSE43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99050%45 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…f790backed Paper Rex60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed Paper Rex40c27.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FULL SENSE39c27.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6184838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FULL SENSE57c27.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5753355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Paper Rex61c25.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Paper Rex66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7326354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Paper Rex47c21.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3427947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked Paper Rex76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d21…2c72backed Paper Rex67c18.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.