Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85963da6e05dde9c3a9b400a4677a971330363e074f3feca6571a8cc35a3a647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof FULL SENSE, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FULL SENSE | 34c | 3,121$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.97 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…dbe3backed Paper Rex | 69c | 1,224$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…f73cbacked FULL SENSE | 32c | 1,144$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FULL SENSE | 31c | 882.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 773.24$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked FULL SENSE | 38c | 771.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FULL SENSE | 34c | 683$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FULL SENSE | 29c | 621.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Paper Rex | 60c | 600$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE | 26c | 592.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FULL SENSE | 34c | 526.42$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked FULL SENSE | 40c | 525$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 68c | 511.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Paper Rex | 61c | 361.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 305.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 304.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 304.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex | 66c | 285.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Paper Rex | 73c | 275.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FULL SENSE | 39c | 257.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 244$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked FULL SENSE | 50c | 243.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 208.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 205.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FULL SENSE | 29c | 175.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 165$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 153.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 132.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Paper Rex | 62c | 106.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked FULL SENSE | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…026dbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…25cbbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 88.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…568ebacked Paper Rex | 67c | 73.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…dc4ebacked FULL SENSE | 31c | 65.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…afeabacked FULL SENSE | 34c | 57.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…d749backed Paper Rex | 71c | 54.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paper Rex | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…b510backed Paper Rex | 68c | 44.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Paper Rex | 68c | 43.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Paper Rex | 65c | 32.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 68c | 28.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Paper Rex | 66c | 25.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed FULL SENSE | 41c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Paper Rex | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Paper Rex | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…d210backed Paper Rex | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.