Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601f7ce1e71d88beba37fb9f8da6477397c8f56526ef101c453f489c532b696e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof FULL SENSE, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56cc…dbe3backed Paper Rex | 65c | 1,854$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 1,287$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 857.71$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.71 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked FULL SENSE | 41c | 828.39$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Paper Rex | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Paper Rex | 61c | 614.07$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 505$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 505$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 399.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FULL SENSE | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 360.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 332.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 278$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 244.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Paper Rex | 59c | 213$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 199.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FULL SENSE | 37c | 194.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FULL SENSE | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 161.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 62c | 160.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 158.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FULL SENSE | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FULL SENSE | 39c | 112.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 107.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Paper Rex | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…026dbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FULL SENSE | 40c | 75.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked FULL SENSE | 47c | 73.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 61c | 64.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked FULL SENSE | 46c | 64.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Paper Rex | 69c | 63.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Paper Rex | 63c | 58.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex | 64c | 55.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 54.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FULL SENSE | 31c | 50.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked Paper Rex | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 49.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…c7c1backed Paper Rex | 61c | 43.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…c678backed FULL SENSE | 37c | 41.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 31.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Paper Rex | 60c | 31.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Paper Rex | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Paper Rex | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FULL SENSE | 41c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Paper Rex | 61c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Paper Rex | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked Paper Rex | 63c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0d05backed Paper Rex | 65c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6646…0c6ebacked Paper Rex | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.