CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x164fb0345e7b11dbc20ffe76ee7378a0508db3e4c125f6b393cd2b68e5515dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 2,391$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.68 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 2,137$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed MANA eSports | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.67 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed MANA eSports | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 1,904$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 1,110$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.15 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed MANA eSports | 52c | 1,068$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.79 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MANA eSports | 78c | 926.34$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 80c | 614.7$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MANA eSports | 61c | 572.3$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 565.16$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 528.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 61c | 461.83$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MANA eSports | 53c | 396.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked MANA eSports | 72c | 353.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 344.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Famalicão Esports | 51c | 303.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 273.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 214.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 213.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 204.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed MANA eSports | 49c | 185.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked FC Famalicão Esports | 20c | 182.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 53c | 177.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 40c | 156.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 148.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…54f6backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 131.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 114.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 103.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked MANA eSports | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 20c | 90.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 78.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 72.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 70.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed MANA eSports | 80c | 64.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FC Famalicão Esports | 22c | 61.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed FC Famalicão Esports | 33c | 54.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked MANA eSports | 73c | 50.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…9c39backed FC Famalicão Esports | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed FC Famalicão Esports | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked MANA eSports | 73c | 45.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 43.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed MANA eSports | 71c | 37.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Famalicão Esports | 34c | 37.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4e86backed MANA eSports | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MANA eSports | 80c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 36c | 28.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 48c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed FC Famalicão Esports | 47c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed MANA eSports | 68c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 20.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MANA eSports | 77c | 20.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed MANA eSports | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.