CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e51a9ff343eb3e0adedfb44e89f0388930f1c62e9459d1f53392dcb0e76ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Under | 50c | 69,200$34,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,599.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 68,083$34,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,039.77 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a66dbacked Over | 35c | 820.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 805.98$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.93 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 51c | 592.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 50c | 565$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 553.11$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 49c | 494.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 50c | 341.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 324.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 294.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 49c | 269.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 268.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…97edbacked Over | 51c | 247.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Over | 51c | 192.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 51c | 189.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 72c | 178.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 50c | 174.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 152.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 51c | 106.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 16c | 101.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…89bcbacked Over | 50c | 100.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 50c | 100.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 49c | 100.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Under | 70c | 77.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…fa95backed Over | 49c | 69.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 50c | 59.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…d820backed Over | 36c | 59.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 42.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…ff26backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 51c | 37.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.