CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa729bd77a1ea14ddbb4885cf4b22c8fa5032d6669e6955e8694f6d8f6dddd654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Legacy, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 30c | 173.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed B8 | 71c | 165.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 69c | 129.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Legacy | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Legacy | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 63c | 102.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Legacy | 37c | 98.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 66c | 87.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked B8 | 70c | 79.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed B8 | 70c | 74.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Legacy | 34c | 70.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Legacy | 28c | 69.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed B8 | 68c | 49.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Legacy | 35c | 41.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy | 28c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed B8 | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed B8 | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.