CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d59a170afb08896c3b1d7c0e76b66d793dea629180f856b2ac173842e4ac11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof TheMongolz, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed TheMongolz | 26c | 4,027$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.89 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked PARIVISION | 74c | 2,264$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.67 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…1010backed PARIVISION | 75c | 724.87$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 71c | 599.58$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed PARIVISION | 72c | 474.23$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed PARIVISION | 78c | 442.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed TheMongolz | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 71c | 148.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked TheMongolz | 30c | 118.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…0f4fbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed TheMongolz | 53c | 91.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed PARIVISION | 45c | 87.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 50.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed TheMongolz | 30c | 42.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…468cbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed PARIVISION | 72c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 73c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed PARIVISION | 76c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.