TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Young TigeRESof Young TigeRES, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Vexar48c6,734$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.995759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexar34c5,378$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.567,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…10d4backed Young TigeRES69c4,173$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa17c…b2e6backed Young TigeRES62c2,727$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.687566.7%50 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…c1c3backed Young TigeRES57c2,488$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.25574.5%41 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Young TigeRES60c2,048$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.4620554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vexar41c1,854$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.361,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Vexar34c1,244$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.312,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed Young TigeRES64c1,121$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.87647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Young TigeRES66c990.6$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Vexar25c665.26$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0844244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vexar38c560$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Young TigeRES54c489.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8245465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Vexar35c462.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2319642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Vexar37c431.53$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1165546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Vexar34c375.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.881,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a8…4d14backed Young TigeRES57c357.47$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Vexar33c331.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2716350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19be…2e91backed Vexar32c282.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Vexar34c271.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2326048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed Young TigeRES65c226.05$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc38…bfd8backed Vexar37c210.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.442429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Vexar31c191.72$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.431,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Vexar35c191.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.244748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Young TigeRES60c161.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.920462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Young TigeRES59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.477146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Young TigeRES61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Young TigeRES68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Young TigeRES67c97.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed Vexar32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.786939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Vexar32c80.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…08fbbacked Vexar33c63.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd153…f849backed Vexar33c58.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Young TigeRES53c50.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Vexar32c47.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…e6d7backed Vexar38c36.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.853754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young TigeRES53c33.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Vexar47c30.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.518033.8%27 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…fb35backed Young TigeRES69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.