Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaef7fd70adab0354d7d5e68f6ae77b075193c401892ad0a6f8228b0ceecf5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, Lost Puppies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b66…690cbacked NAVI Junior | 71c | 3,096$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Lost Puppies | 16c | 1,859$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lost Puppies | 52c | 1,492$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.82 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed NAVI Junior | 50c | 1,119$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d71…d407backed NAVI Junior | 61c | 948.83$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lost Puppies | 44c | 760.22$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lost Puppies | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 494.94$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed NAVI Junior | 49c | 438.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…6907backed NAVI Junior | 74c | 367.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lost Puppies | 68c | 313.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lost Puppies | 26c | 306.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 300.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Lost Puppies | 42c | 292.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lost Puppies | 47c | 290.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Lost Puppies | 38c | 276.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…2445backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 233.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Lost Puppies | 36c | 228$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Lost Puppies | 51c | 207.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked NAVI Junior | 55c | 206.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…00a6backed NAVI Junior | 48c | 203.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Lost Puppies | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Lost Puppies | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…4d62backed NAVI Junior | 72c | 180.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…413fbacked Lost Puppies | 37c | 163.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Lost Puppies | 29c | 134$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Lost Puppies | 29c | 121.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Lost Puppies | 44c | 76.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NAVI Junior | 42c | 71.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Lost Puppies | 16c | 68.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NAVI Junior | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Lost Puppies | 22c | 58.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lost Puppies | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Lost Puppies | 41c | 50.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Lost Puppies | 43c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 1 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.