Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c663b11b877330af321106a3d44bc5ba077e0d9f3571ba430ee8d2139e30668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, Lost Puppies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b66…690cbacked NAVI Junior | 61c | 1,703$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Lost Puppies | 22c | 743.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lost Puppies | 58c | 629.33$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.67 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lost Puppies | 51c | 600$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed NAVI Junior | 49c | 581.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed NAVI Junior | 62c | 156.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Lost Puppies | 32c | 139.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 116$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…3314backed NAVI Junior | 58c | 84.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lost Puppies | 44c | 77.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked NAVI Junior | 19c | 60.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NAVI Junior | 68c | 50.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…8562backed NAVI Junior | 54c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Lost Puppies - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.