CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e31ebb877bc8e8eb0d3e2257bcd88c9457890e70719bb8687d29a6786b35a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof UNiTY esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x023e…7334backed ASTRAL | 58c | 5,755$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.76 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked UNiTY esports | 43c | 4,964$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.48 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed ASTRAL | 57c | 609.79$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 432$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ASTRAL | 79c | 325.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ASTRAL | 74c | 307.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed UNiTY esports | 10c | 210.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed UNiTY esports | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 183.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked UNiTY esports | 41c | 171.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked UNiTY esports | 43c | 168.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…f080backed ASTRAL | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 146.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed ASTRAL | 58c | 127.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed ASTRAL | 58c | 124.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports | 17c | 120.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed UNiTY esports | 46c | 106.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed UNiTY esports | 46c | 106.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed UNiTY esports | 46c | 106.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed ASTRAL | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed ASTRAL | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…68a7backed ASTRAL | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked UNiTY esports | 40c | 93.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked UNiTY esports | 40c | 88.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 75c | 88.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 86.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked UNiTY esports | 46c | 76.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 67.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…66a8backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 50.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked ASTRAL | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 48.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed UNiTY esports | 43c | 44.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 68c | 44.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 29.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked UNiTY esports | 41c | 25.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.