CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa95da9dbed6a4910f2447d4f57c8beea1896aec22c7aa96405e35f7954d00abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof AaB Esport, WAZABI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed AaB Esport | 72c | 5,244$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.73 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked WAZABI | 30c | 3,378$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.51 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WAZABI | 24c | 1,040$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked WAZABI | 26c | 537.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed AaB Esport | 74c | 478.84$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 466 | 65.5%305 W · 161 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AaB Esport | 74c | 398.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed AaB Esport | 75c | 396.35$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked WAZABI | 26c | 365.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed WAZABI | 8c | 319.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed WAZABI | 25c | 250.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed WAZABI | 27c | 183.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1,096 | 37.6%412 W · 684 L | +34.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed WAZABI | 13c | 150.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 704 | 32.1%226 W · 478 L | -45.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked WAZABI | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked WAZABI | 26c | 139.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed WAZABI | 12c | 121.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed WAZABI | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed WAZABI | 26c | 119.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 440 | 33.6%148 W · 292 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed WAZABI | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed WAZABI | 24c | 97.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AaB Esport | 74c | 48.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked WAZABI | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed WAZABI | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed AaB Esport | 77c | 37.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked AaB Esport | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AaB Esport | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs WAZABI (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs WAZABI (+1.5)AaB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.