Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf053768367bcc1537bb6af185f5680062a7b77f977b50faf11e9eddc061e117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.95 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 45c | 4,136$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.95 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 45c | 2,661$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.91 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 1,581$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.83 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 45c | 1,414$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.37 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.19 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 1,208$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.97 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Under | 56c | 999.05$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 45c | 862.22$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Over | 46c | 743.63$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Over | 45c | 737.78$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 45c | 705$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 46c | 518.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 54c | 424.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 45c | 405.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 45c | 391.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 45c | 353.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 45c | 324.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 294.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 45c | 284.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 46c | 257.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Over | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed Over | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 47c | 77.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 56c | 58.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 60c | 41.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 45c | 30.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.