Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef8e9132c08958c8e24a1dab64dbdf0001c6e3419c7266f952fe4c3a21812d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af1…d739backed G2 Esports | 28c | 9,475$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780.37 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 8,567$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.77 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 5,000$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.21 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed G2 Esports | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.33 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 3,080$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.09 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.8 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed G2 Esports | 30c | 1,999$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.51 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 Esports | 29c | 1,331$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports | 35c | 1,301$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.51 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed G2 Esports | 28c | 1,222$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.84 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 1,220$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked G2 Esports | 31c | 1,064$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.16 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed G2 Esports | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 678.26$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 Esports | 30c | 452.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked G2 Esports | 31c | 428.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 419.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports | 31c | 413.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 405.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked G2 Esports | 32c | 398.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 359.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 330.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked G2 Esports | 30c | 315.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed G2 Esports | 48c | 313.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 302.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed G2 Esports | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed G2 Esports | 32c | 280.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 222.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed G2 Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed G2 Esports | 28c | 189.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked G2 Esports | 27c | 188.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 158.22$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Esports | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports | 31c | 95.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…698fbacked Karmine Corp | 44c | 83.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 31c | 68.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed G2 Esports | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 Esports | 33c | 46.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 Esports | 31c | 42.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed G2 Esports | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Esports | 49c | 40.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 38.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed G2 Esports | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked G2 Esports | 59c | 32.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked G2 Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…be66backed G2 Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…4c57backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed G2 Esports | 57c | 27.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed G2 Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 19.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed G2 Esports | 66c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.