CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d353e52f995c5a0f8fe81809107e254c31686a461de791deb9c93313830e7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 60c | 4,770$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…be56backed UNO MILLE | 56c | 1,846$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 1,298$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.25 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed UNO MILLE | 42c | 1,081$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbf…087ebacked UNO MILLE | 52c | 1,002$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…e5a5backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 980.3$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Keyd | 51c | 965.06$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Keyd | 43c | 927$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.49 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…d9dcbacked UNO MILLE | 40c | 847$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…6b09backed UNO MILLE | 55c | 813.97$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 61c | 805.33$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…fc7cbacked UNO MILLE | 59c | 804$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed UNO MILLE | 39c | 550$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Keyd | 63c | 508$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 55c | 430.75$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed UNO MILLE | 69c | 420.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed UNO MILLE | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Keyd | 48c | 394.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UNO MILLE | 41c | 259.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Keyd | 12c | 255.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 236.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked UNO MILLE | 55c | 227.87$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Keyd | 45c | 226.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Keyd | 44c | 214.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Keyd | 44c | 211.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked UNO MILLE | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Keyd | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed UNO MILLE | 41c | 191.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Keyd | 45c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed UNO MILLE | 43c | 138.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed UNO MILLE | 41c | 130.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed UNO MILLE | 44c | 119.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Keyd | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Keyd | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed Keyd | 52c | 96.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Keyd | 31c | 93.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 38c | 92.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 56c | 92.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Keyd | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keyd | 38c | 74.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Keyd | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked UNO MILLE | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e84…3faebacked UNO MILLE | 44c | 47.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Keyd | 44c | 41.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked Keyd | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed Keyd | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed UNO MILLE | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Keyd | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Keyd | 54c | 34.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed UNO MILLE | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Keyd | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 30.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed UNO MILLE | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked UNO MILLE | 47c | 29.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Keyd | 47c | 28.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed UNO MILLE | 38c | 28.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Keyd | 55c | 27.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Keyd | 58c | 22.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.