CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ELITEN (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a638aea7c7959aa5778ee301e9e54d6b0bc29f2252efeb88b7d927a5171469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XI Esportof XI Esport, ELITEN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked ELITEN | 21c | 11,110$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.18 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed XI Esport | 79c | 9,911$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.33 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed XI Esport | 78c | 5,563$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.16 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed XI Esport | 79c | 881.59$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked ELITEN | 21c | 632.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed ELITEN | 22c | 475.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…3b87backed ELITEN | 27c | 419.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ELITEN | 20c | 404.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed ELITEN | 20c | 393.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked ELITEN | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked XI Esport | 75c | 289.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ELITEN | 22c | 250.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked ELITEN | 26c | 223.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed ELITEN | 24c | 212.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed ELITEN | 22c | 208.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed ELITEN | 28c | 203.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ELITEN | 25c | 179.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ELITEN | 23c | 176.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed ELITEN | 22c | 160.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ELITEN | 22c | 157.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…74d5backed ELITEN | 20c | 156.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed ELITEN | 21c | 149.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed ELITEN | 22c | 147.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed ELITEN | 25c | 115.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed ELITEN | 24c | 104.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ELITEN | 22c | 90.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed ELITEN | 22c | 86.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed XI Esport | 79c | 83.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…6eabbacked ELITEN | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed XI Esport | 78c | 62.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed ELITEN | 27c | 42.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked XI Esport | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed XI Esport | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.