Lol · resolved market
LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179548eb17442e5080daea72970639dade7a04aa5910d5966d75df363f7e7d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uwinksof Uwinks, L Guide Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Uwinks | 51c | 3,371$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.74 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L Guide Gaming | 55c | 1,009$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.57 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked L Guide Gaming | 49c | 777.14$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 702.89$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Uwinks | 44c | 657.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.85 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Uwinks | 48c | 605.52$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.53 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 381$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 370.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 312.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked L Guide Gaming | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L Guide Gaming | 63c | 184.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 180.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Uwinks | 56c | 180.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 535 | 43.4%232 W · 303 L | +33.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…a647backed Uwinks | 52c | 148.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 144.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L Guide Gaming | 54c | 90.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 69.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…b48dbacked L Guide Gaming | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed L Guide Gaming | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked L Guide Gaming | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked L Guide Gaming | 57c | 25.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed L Guide Gaming | 64c | 24.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed L Guide Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…2cf5backed Uwinks | 77c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: L Guide Gaming (-1.5) vs Uwinks (+1.5)Uwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonUwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming - Game 2 WinnerUwinks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.