Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6a88a3779597cc599b9f3c34bbe618f2a606da3d0ff82c85a17d7ceb442b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 23,994$12,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,796.6 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 7,288$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.77 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Under | 48c | 6,259$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.7 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 45c | 3,994$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.64 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 45c | 1,820$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 49c | 270$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Under | 45c | 266.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…b342backed Under | 49c | 247.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 46c | 211.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 46c | 202.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 45c | 138.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.