TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof JD Gaming, Anyone's Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,361 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed Anyone's Legend65c4,301$2,796 inWon+$1,505.4559554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked JD Gaming35c2,873$1,006 inLost-$1,005.551,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849a…9207backed JD Gaming35c1,000$350 inLost-$3503836.8%14 W · 24 L-8.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend64c714.46$455 inWon+$259.911,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked JD Gaming36c454.96$164 inLost-$163.781,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Anyone's Legend66c440.35$290 inWon+$149.9624257%138 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked JD Gaming37c240.54$89 inLost-$8937640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming33c197.23$65 inLost-$65.091,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed JD Gaming36c168.16$60 inLost-$60.2574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Anyone's Legend64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.2561256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed JD Gaming35c126.03$44 inLost-$44.111,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked JD Gaming35c90$32 inLost-$31.542751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed JD Gaming36c83.33$30 inLost-$3092342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed JD Gaming34c80.95$28 inLost-$27.8760849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked JD Gaming36c37.7$14 inLost-$13.574259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2318…4cd4backed JD Gaming36c34.72$12 inLost-$12.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked JD Gaming34c30$10 inLost-$10.253955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…fdf3backed Anyone's Legend67c19$13 inWon+$6.275367.9%36 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.