Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3063a65ed70e8652c465f620645b473bf566b653f1bd2794ffedcdc68e94a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 31c | 3,285$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.8 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 69c | 1,731$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.61 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 31c | 925.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 69c | 565.61$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 69c | 272.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 69c | 225.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 78c | 151.36$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 44c | 84.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…5106backed Over | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…6a20backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 70c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.