CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02114ebf3e964a33258189dfbf98a7b9eedded58adfd420d5583a25dee7df0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof NEW VISION, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Benched gods | 39c | 10,580$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.72 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed NEW VISION | 62c | 9,676$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.09 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…5656backed NEW VISION | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed NEW VISION | 57c | 3,122$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.2 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Benched gods | 50c | 2,600$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed NEW VISION | 61c | 2,579$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.26 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Benched gods | 22c | 1,629$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NEW VISION | 64c | 1,215$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.66 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Benched gods | 45c | 1,164$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Benched gods | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Benched gods | 34c | 721.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Benched gods | 36c | 660.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Benched gods | 32c | 599.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…df6fbacked Benched gods | 43c | 550$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NEW VISION | 65c | 538.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Benched gods | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked NEW VISION | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Benched gods | 10c | 264$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Benched gods | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Benched gods | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Benched gods | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Benched gods | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Benched gods | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed NEW VISION | 67c | 181.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked Benched gods | 38c | 173.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Benched gods | 43c | 164.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Benched gods | 10c | 158$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Benched gods | 21c | 157.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Benched gods | 48c | 100.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Benched gods | 43c | 100.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…9a05backed NEW VISION | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…996bbacked NEW VISION | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Benched gods | 38c | 91.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Benched gods | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.