CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0e6e1ee589b5d40768da20dd33cf408ff9a7e6f7b12e38233872b38ba0de7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Over | 52c | 2,489$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.52 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 24c | 1,836$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.92 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Over | 59c | 1,213$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.75 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 58c | 483.74$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 43c | 362.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Over | 54c | 350.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 40c | 260.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Under | 40c | 248.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 40c | 240$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 220$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 22c | 206.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Under | 42c | 149.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Under | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Over | 53c | 116.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Under | 47c | 99.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 69.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 49c | 50.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 50c | 30.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 78c | 29.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 1 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.