CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba6644a5d9f16274a6a6a0f5b2cd4331d87b8cbb2f9def176cccc02ea0b5fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof NEW VISION, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Benched gods | 1c | 9,187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Benched gods | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Benched gods | 4c | 3,825$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Benched gods | 3c | 3,075$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Benched gods | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Benched gods | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Benched gods | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Benched gods | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Benched gods | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Benched gods | 2c | 2,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Benched gods | 62c | 1,794$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.55 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…9a05backed Benched gods | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Benched gods | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Benched gods | 11c | 1,220$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed NEW VISION | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Benched gods | 14c | 1,006$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed NEW VISION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Benched gods | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed NEW VISION | 49c | 994.34$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Benched gods | 2c | 970$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Benched gods | 3c | 960$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Benched gods | 9c | 913$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Benched gods | 8c | 912$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Benched gods | 7c | 780$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Benched gods | 4c | 773$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Benched gods | 3c | 760.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked NEW VISION | 65c | 699.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Benched gods | 2c | 634.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Benched gods | 6c | 617$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Benched gods | 9c | 570$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Benched gods | 7c | 521$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 23c | 504$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Benched gods | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Benched gods | 54c | 477.77$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Benched gods | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Benched gods | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Benched gods | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Benched gods | 3c | 375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Benched gods | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Benched gods | 10c | 293$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Benched gods | 10c | 260.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed NEW VISION | 45c | 220.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked NEW VISION | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed NEW VISION | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Benched gods | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked NEW VISION | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…58f0backed NEW VISION | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Benched gods | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Benched gods | 54c | 152.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…3314backed Benched gods | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Benched gods | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Benched gods | 55c | 141$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Benched gods | 54c | 131.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Benched gods | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEW VISION | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed Benched gods | 52c | 108$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed NEW VISION | 50c | 104.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…ef8ebacked NEW VISION | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Benched gods | 72c | 86.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked NEW VISION | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed NEW VISION | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NEW VISION | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NEW VISION | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Benched gods | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…a7aabacked Benched gods | 52c | 36.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Benched gods | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NEW VISION | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…7913backed NEW VISION | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NEW VISION | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Benched gods - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.