Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ce27fab20e08c8bd35f5e2639c4524d20c63eca9d777d4b515ca43ae0e695cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fa…d852backed Barça eSports | 79c | 10,096$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.74 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 2,639$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.79 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed UB Alma Mater | 26c | 1,319$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 247 | 35.2%87 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 970.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 931.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed UB Alma Mater | 19c | 763.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 754.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked UB Alma Mater | 20c | 700.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 582.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed UB Alma Mater | 22c | 570.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a98…3113backed Barça eSports | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked UB Alma Mater | 24c | 396.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed UB Alma Mater | 22c | 318.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 276.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Barça eSports | 78c | 250.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…4c34backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 208.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 204.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked UB Alma Mater | 22c | 191.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 181.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed UB Alma Mater | 20c | 149.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed UB Alma Mater | 19c | 128.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed Barça eSports | 76c | 84.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 212 | 67%142 W · 70 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…153dbacked UB Alma Mater | 26c | 64.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Barça eSports | 73c | 45.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Barça eSports | 76c | 30.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Barça eSports | 76c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…22aebacked Barça eSports | 76c | 24.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Barça eSports | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Barça eSports | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonBarça eSports won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.