CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad72e3ba6040100fe00737ae7ab0683a483f99edb10ef453978ca2a7c376886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of OLDBOYS-, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked MASONIC | 52c | 1,553$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.98 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MASONIC | 55c | 998.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed OLDBOYS- | 46c | 845.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked MASONIC | 54c | 618.15$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OLDBOYS- | 47c | 547.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed OLDBOYS- | 49c | 499.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked OLDBOYS- | 45c | 437.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed OLDBOYS- | 50c | 417.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 416.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed MASONIC | 52c | 310.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MASONIC | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed MASONIC | 54c | 295.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked OLDBOYS- | 50c | 283.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed OLDBOYS- | 50c | 234.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 200.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed MASONIC | 50c | 199.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed OLDBOYS- | 50c | 198.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 176.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MASONIC | 53c | 149.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 148.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed MASONIC | 55c | 144.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked OLDBOYS- | 46c | 142.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed OLDBOYS- | 47c | 77.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed OLDBOYS- | 44c | 75.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed MASONIC | 51c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MASONIC | 49c | 67.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked MASONIC | 49c | 49.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed MASONIC | 52c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed OLDBOYS- | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MASONIC | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed OLDBOYS- | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed MASONIC | 52c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.