CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa813731b8159d6d714a961409ecbcadbe9c39dfa0c1a9188d63a0bdc1fdf10e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OLDBOYS-of OLDBOYS-, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed MASONIC | 34c | 3,264$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.29 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed MASONIC | 32c | 2,528$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.27 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed OLDBOYS- | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked OLDBOYS- | 66c | 1,009$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed OLDBOYS- | 63c | 864.04$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed MASONIC | 31c | 623.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed OLDBOYS- | 65c | 551.26$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked MASONIC | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MASONIC | 16c | 523.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MASONIC | 3c | 441.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked MASONIC | 16c | 382$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MASONIC | 23c | 356.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 32c | 356.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked MASONIC | 33c | 338.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed MASONIC | 33c | 331.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MASONIC | 18c | 285.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed OLDBOYS- | 64c | 260.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OLDBOYS- | 68c | 247.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed OLDBOYS- | 69c | 237.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…6a0cbacked MASONIC | 40c | 236.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed OLDBOYS- | 64c | 228.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked MASONIC | 9c | 172.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MASONIC | 35c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed OLDBOYS- | 67c | 162.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MASONIC | 33c | 147.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MASONIC | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MASONIC | 33c | 112.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed MASONIC | 31c | 107.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MASONIC | 18c | 107.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked OLDBOYS- | 67c | 106.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked OLDBOYS- | 69c | 100.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed OLDBOYS- | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked MASONIC | 21c | 98.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked OLDBOYS- | 74c | 98.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OLDBOYS- | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OLDBOYS- | 68c | 96.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked OLDBOYS- | 71c | 92.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked OLDBOYS- | 74c | 91.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked MASONIC | 21c | 87.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked MASONIC | 22c | 82.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed OLDBOYS- | 73c | 70.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked OLDBOYS- | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OLDBOYS- | 70c | 54.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MASONIC | 36c | 54.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed OLDBOYS- | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed MASONIC | 28c | 52.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MASONIC | 27c | 49.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked MASONIC | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OLDBOYS- | 62c | 44.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed MASONIC | 32c | 40.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked MASONIC | 34c | 39.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MASONIC | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed OLDBOYS- | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed OLDBOYS- | 69c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…c833backed OLDBOYS- | 74c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OLDBOYS- | 74c | 27.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed OLDBOYS- | 66c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked OLDBOYS- | 61c | 25.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked OLDBOYS- | 66c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed OLDBOYS- | 64c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed OLDBOYS- | 64c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked OLDBOYS- | 70c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked OLDBOYS- | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed OLDBOYS- | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerOLDBOYS- won
- Map Handicap: OLDBOYS- (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)OLDBOYS- won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.