Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a3b2de102c0550dfb6fdabb47151a5dc1d9759b7475b66a1888b8ba9243a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Galatasaray Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9919…f261backed Galatasaray Esports | 22c | 1,340$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 1,251$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.15 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Galatasaray Esports | 21c | 1,083$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Misa Esports | 80c | 624$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Misa Esports | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 77c | 437.06$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galatasaray Esports | 23c | 434.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 408.89$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked Galatasaray Esports | 19c | 366.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Galatasaray Esports | 20c | 204.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 20c | 193.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Misa Esports | 80c | 165.16$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 17c | 156.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…97ebbacked Galatasaray Esports | 20c | 144.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…aab7backed Galatasaray Esports | 23c | 140.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 18c | 128.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Galatasaray Esports | 11c | 120.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Galatasaray Esports | 16c | 104.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Misa Esports | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…4a35backed Galatasaray Esports | 14c | 99.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Galatasaray Esports | 22c | 85.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…14eabacked Galatasaray Esports | 19c | 80.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 60.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Misa Esports | 80c | 46.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…5a9ebacked Galatasaray Esports | 23c | 44.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Misa Esports | 79c | 39.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 23.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 23.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.