Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe002319ac356b8e3be9a6c4d25a0e1717e97982ef59d735523aa3082f347c44c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Galatasaray Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9919…f261backed Galatasaray Esports | 44c | 1,439$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Galatasaray Esports | 2c | 1,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Galatasaray Esports | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Misa Esports | 57c | 784.61$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…97ebbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 607$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 64c | 454.4$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galatasaray Esports | 48c | 347.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Galatasaray Esports | 12c | 290.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 255.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Galatasaray Esports | 40c | 133.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Galatasaray Esports | 9c | 114.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 107.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 40c | 93.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galatasaray Esports | 39c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Galatasaray Esports | 36c | 81.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Galatasaray Esports | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Galatasaray Esports | 64c | 78.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Galatasaray Esports | 41c | 54.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Galatasaray Esports | 50c | 52.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Galatasaray Esports | 37c | 52.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Galatasaray Esports | 48c | 46.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Galatasaray Esports | 36c | 45.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…57d0backed Galatasaray Esports | 44c | 44.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Galatasaray Esports | 45c | 42.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Galatasaray Esports | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Misa Esports | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Galatasaray Esports | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik PlayoffsMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.