CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd131905a29abc1f99593d7a11408ea71e577cc9772df97a7980e824ac1241c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Phantom, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 49c | 4,366$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed Atreides | 57c | 4,160$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.07 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 43c | 3,549$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Atreides | 49c | 2,571$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.74 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 47c | 1,558$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 50c | 902.08$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Atreides | 58c | 877.32$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Atreides | 56c | 810.37$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Atreides | 53c | 800$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Atreides | 49c | 515.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Atreides | 49c | 479.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Atreides | 50c | 465.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Atreides | 49c | 331.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Phantom | 27c | 295.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Atreides | 49c | 262.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…306dbacked Phantom | 43c | 249.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Atreides | 50c | 248.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Phantom | 43c | 187.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Phantom | 43c | 183.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Atreides | 66c | 182.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 40c | 152.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Atreides | 51c | 151.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Atreides | 49c | 129.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Phantom | 34c | 125.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phantom | 34c | 125.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Atreides | 67c | 112.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Phantom | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 53c | 45.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Phantom | 51c | 42.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Atreides | 58c | 29.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Atreides | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Atreides | 58c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Phantom | 44c | 23.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Atreides | 50c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…930abacked Atreides | 76c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.