TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oxuji Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Ursa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x961a…aa6abacked Ursa13c2,891$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2127548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports58c2,417$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.297,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ursa33c1,670$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ursa48c1,663$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Ursa12c1,404$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8817545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa55c1,038$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.284,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Oxuji Esports50c1,025$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Ursa10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Ursa50c976.88$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8513343.6%58 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Ursa12c945.76$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Oxuji Esports46c932$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4816350.3%82 W · 81 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Ursa15c862.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Ursa41c844.72$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0425634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Oxuji Esports51c607.57$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3224942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Ursa23c515.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oxuji Esports59c512.02$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Oxuji Esports67c473.91$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9138552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ursa13c469.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.862,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked Oxuji Esports47c445.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.675240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Ursa51c434.15$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.611,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Ursa22c422.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3910950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa52c407.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ursa27c372.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.263,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ursa22c342.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.411,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d5…306dbacked Ursa10c330$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a0e…021ebacked Ursa50c317.92$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.222231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Ursa56c313.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7248635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Ursa42c299.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8235861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Ursa53c294$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Ursa40c290.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0617759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ursa45c289.84$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.092,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Ursa19c287$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5922324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ursa34c283.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.722,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Ursa45c283.2$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4427549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Ursa16c270$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.364439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Oxuji Esports54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.449143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Oxuji Esports45c218.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3133237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Ursa61c210.54$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Ursa5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.538312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Ursa48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Ursa24c194.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4113324.8%33 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56da…449ebacked Ursa47c178.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.671650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Ursa16c176$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.419020%18 W · 72 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa56c172.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0d…a507backed Oxuji Esports45c165.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.972352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked Oxuji Esports43c163.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.767143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Ursa9c160.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9228052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Oxuji Esports44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.62,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Oxuji Esports52c157$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1640652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Oxuji Esports47c150.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7959343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa33c146.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed Ursa12c143.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ursa25c132.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.284,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9233…b93abacked Oxuji Esports45c131$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Ursa22c123$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.656225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Ursa25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306322.2%14 W · 49 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Ursa21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa24c118.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.864,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Oxuji Esports61c114.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0145663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Ursa22c113$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.477022.9%16 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Oxuji Esports60c109.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.954468.2%30 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ursa50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.072,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Oxuji Esports56c106.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.524051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Ursa58c104.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8745645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fe…ef8ebacked Oxuji Esports47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Oxuji Esports45c103$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabaf…b8dabacked Ursa10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Oxuji Esports52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Oxuji Esports42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ursa35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Ursa48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca3…be8ebacked Oxuji Esports39c92.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.172152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Ursa44c90.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9838452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Ursa15c88.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2519329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed Oxuji Esports62c85.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.437045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Oxuji Esports56c85.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Ursa14c80.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2942427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Ursa13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Oxuji Esports41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Oxuji Esports37c76.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.291,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ursa45c74.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.941,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Oxuji Esports52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ursa30c68.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.471,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Ursa28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.850043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Ursa46c59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1420045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ursa19c54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2636334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Oxuji Esports66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0313753.3%73 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x524f…2642backed Ursa46c52.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Oxuji Esports72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Ursa37c49.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Ursa51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Oxuji Esports63c47.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6112446.8%58 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Oxuji Esports61c46.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.339946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Oxuji Esports42c46.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Ursa30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.830348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3815…6ce2backed Ursa56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Oxuji Esports64c35.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8623150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa55c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Oxuji Esports46c33.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0920935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.