CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda21b796e453e983743e152946b98c48c01a7e083596eac3ee83e13822f85c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof MARKandLARRY, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MARKandLARRY | 23c | 219.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Ground Zero | 77c | 140.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Ground Zero | 77c | 140.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked MARKandLARRY | 21c | 71.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MARKandLARRY | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed Ground Zero | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed MARKandLARRY | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked MARKandLARRY | 50c | 47.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked Ground Zero | 49c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Ground Zero | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.