CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs G2 Ares (BO1) - Esplay Elite Gaming Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4548743ee42876765fe18de1a477048f57180da18f2d69b63f5b2d92baf6a12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof SAW, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed G2 Ares | 75c | 6,983$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.21 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 28c | 3,964$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW | 25c | 887.33$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked SAW | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked SAW | 20c | 677.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SAW | 17c | 526$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 73c | 523.68$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed G2 Ares | 58c | 476.8$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 26c | 412.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed SAW | 27c | 371.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed SAW | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 25c | 253.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked SAW | 41c | 230$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed G2 Ares | 79c | 183.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SAW | 18c | 183$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 157.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 27c | 156.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed SAW | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed G2 Ares | 70c | 142.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed SAW | 17c | 123.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SAW | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked SAW | 29c | 97.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed SAW | 13c | 90.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Ares | 79c | 89.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SAW | 31c | 67.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SAW | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed SAW | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked SAW | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked G2 Ares | 69c | 34.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked SAW | 38c | 29.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed G2 Ares | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.