CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf413fbbb18088f736b480f91b347427903e3e97ec55219d80290e22c16e180a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Aurora Young Blood
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ea…b635backed Aurora Young Blood | 0c | 39,407$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…8bf7backed Aurora Young Blood | 17c | 20,293$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Aurora Young Blood | 16c | 19,725$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.01 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Leo Team | 79c | 9,129$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.07 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Aurora Young Blood | 20c | 8,743$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 27c | 7,473$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Leo Team | 73c | 6,348$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.46 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Aurora Young Blood | 30c | 2,800$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.92 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Aurora Young Blood | 34c | 976.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Leo Team | 51c | 773.23$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Young Blood | 38c | 647.53$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Aurora Young Blood | 26c | 604.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 53c | 530.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 19c | 524.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 61c | 495.03$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 14c | 468.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Aurora Young Blood | 16c | 400.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 365.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…36ffbacked Aurora Young Blood | 11c | 361.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +511.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Leo Team | 64c | 306.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 79c | 288.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…98f5backed Aurora Young Blood | 23c | 274.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…7401backed Aurora Young Blood | 39c | 244.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Leo Team | 78c | 208.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 206.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Leo Team | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Leo Team | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Team | 71c | 121.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 119.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Leo Team | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 17c | 113.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Aurora Young Blood | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Leo Team | 59c | 107$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Leo Team | 59c | 107$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Leo Team | 71c | 102.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Leo Team | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Leo Team | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Leo Team | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Leo Team | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aurora Young Blood | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…2f72backed Aurora Young Blood | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Leo Team | 63c | 93.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…8488backed Leo Team | 51c | 82.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 33c | 77.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Leo Team | 72c | 76.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 53c | 74.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Leo Team | 58c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Aurora Young Blood | 17c | 70.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 23c | 67.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leo Team | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aurora Young Blood | 31c | 58.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Leo Team | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Leo Team | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Leo Team | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Leo Team | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Leo Team | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…29dbbacked Leo Team | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Aurora Young Blood | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Leo Team | 58c | 44.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Leo Team | 63c | 42.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a06…1391backed Leo Team | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Leo Team | 56c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Aurora Young Blood | 40c | 26.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…55d4backed Leo Team | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Leo Team | 80c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Leo Team | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Leo Team | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.