TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, Blue Otter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Winthrop University64c6,307$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.632,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Winthrop University65c5,302$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.4219041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter33c2,290$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.231,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Blue Otter72c2,043$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.186547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Blue Otter50c1,975$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.7789943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Winthrop University64c1,951$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.5219150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Blue Otter47c1,564$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.341,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Blue Otter32c1,278$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.969823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Winthrop University66c1,211$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4198956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Otter43c1,157$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.111,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University72c826.23$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.371,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Blue Otter37c741.79$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.311,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Blue Otter16c733.72$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Winthrop University43c700$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40038659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709c…ce30backed Blue Otter41c663.85$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9410034%34 W · 66 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Blue Otter51c597.62$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Blue Otter43c563.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.651,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Winthrop University65c448.64$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8623149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Blue Otter30c444$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.237633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Blue Otter7c405.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8364435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Blue Otter38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Blue Otter45c397.42$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7875342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Winthrop University64c367$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1933143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Blue Otter59c354.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1540546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Blue Otter39c257.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7317143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter77c255.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.261,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Blue Otter79c249.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0462158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Blue Otter34c232.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.111,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Winthrop University61c224.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.284041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Blue Otter22c219.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6519738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Blue Otter54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10828827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Blue Otter43c170.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3351247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Blue Otter35c166.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6532253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Blue Otter37c163.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.624768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Winthrop University60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0720445.1%92 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Winthrop University77c158.02$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.356556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Winthrop University62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Blue Otter40c154.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.77533.3%25 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Blue Otter59c153.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1161143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Winthrop University66c147.47$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4879864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Blue Otter56c143.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8341060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blue Otter34c141.02$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9543442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Winthrop University70c133.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Blue Otter36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0880832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed Winthrop University48c121.95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6326052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Blue Otter41c118.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.738835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Blue Otter39c114.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.551952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed Winthrop University66c104.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2721267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Blue Otter37c104.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.493043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked Winthrop University68c100.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.112067.5%81 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Blue Otter55c98.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9848652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Blue Otter56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5246153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University39c96.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.051,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Blue Otter36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.625745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd779…fd0dbacked Winthrop University59c92.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.731070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Blue Otter13c88.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6172234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Blue Otter33c83.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0869644.4%309 W · 387 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Blue Otter31c63.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7958420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Winthrop University58c63.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7458649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Blue Otter33c57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Blue Otter34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2114454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Winthrop University52c55.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Winthrop University47c55.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2847630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Blue Otter34c54.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.433855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Winthrop University59c51.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1924959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blue Otter41c51.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a1c…29dbbacked Blue Otter48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x458d…8a59backed Blue Otter40c48.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274619.6%9 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Winthrop University62c46.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Winthrop University32c44.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5717040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Winthrop University71c41.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9338743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Blue Otter69c37.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8739266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a0…4f9bbacked Blue Otter43c34.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.998259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Blue Otter37c31.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5520854.3%113 W · 95 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Winthrop University63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.139956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x278d…d3ecbacked Winthrop University73c29.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9413372.2%96 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Winthrop University64c29.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4649451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…7a60backed Winthrop University61c26.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.196360.3%38 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University46c25.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Winthrop University71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.872637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Winthrop University63c17.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5522548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.