Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778100277030a6a7b0c542622c7f6e0e4b3be7338c109e2086d70e92389ba0c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Blue Otter, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Winthrop University | 72c | 985.35$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.04 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Blue Otter | 28c | 805.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.31 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Blue Otter | 28c | 163.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Blue Otter | 29c | 160.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Winthrop University | 72c | 148.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Blue Otter | 29c | 101.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Blue Otter | 29c | 66.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Blue Otter | 29c | 51.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Winthrop University | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Winthrop University | 72c | 49.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a73ebacked Winthrop University | 71c | 38.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Winthrop University | 77c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…3cf4backed Winthrop University | 71c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Winthrop University | 71c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Winthrop University | 72c | 15.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Winthrop University | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.