Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e899db6d4f144d749be6760fa6c3e73dea86daa72af6cc2d22849902c214d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed LOUD | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.97 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed G2 Esports | 57c | 4,271$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 2,483$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.58 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed LOUD | 47c | 876.84$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.92 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 42c | 778.61$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…35aebacked G2 Esports | 57c | 761.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed G2 Esports | 57c | 681.94$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed LOUD | 43c | 648.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 604$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…ce30backed G2 Esports | 57c | 604$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports | 56c | 399.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…ceb9backed G2 Esports | 57c | 340.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 337.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed G2 Esports | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked LOUD | 44c | 272.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed G2 Esports | 56c | 232.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 230.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed LOUD | 40c | 212.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed LOUD | 40c | 192.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed G2 Esports | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed G2 Esports | 57c | 144.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…a265backed LOUD | 43c | 125.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked LOUD | 44c | 122.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked LOUD | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed G2 Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed LOUD | 41c | 98.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed G2 Esports | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed G2 Esports | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed G2 Esports | 57c | 60.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed G2 Esports | 57c | 59.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed G2 Esports | 57c | 58.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed LOUD | 45c | 55.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 Esports | 56c | 55.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed LOUD | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed LOUD | 43c | 40.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed LOUD | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 37.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked G2 Esports | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked G2 Esports | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed G2 Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked G2 Esports | 57c | 29.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x278d…d3ecbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed G2 Esports | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…16e8backed G2 Esports | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe400…2c04backed G2 Esports | 62c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.