TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Karmine Corp, Fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Karmine Corp56c26,049$14,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,580.756141%25 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Fnatic44c19,646$8,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,017.768444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Fnatic44c16,429$7,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,200.1359450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp61c7,777$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,743.951044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic44c3,680$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.6991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp56c2,899$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.491,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp57c2,735$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.7210239.2%40 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f7…8980backed Fnatic45c2,041$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fnatic38c1,734$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.042,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp54c1,724$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.951,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Karmine Corp56c1,490$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.3856432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Fnatic42c1,386$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.91,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Fnatic39c1,235$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.4328553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp56c879.38$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.661,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Karmine Corp57c758.41$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.292360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Fnatic39c741.08$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0614243.7%62 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp56c616.35$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.431,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Karmine Corp55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517633.5%59 W · 117 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp57c498.83$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Fnatic39c495.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8727247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Fnatic39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.374443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fnatic39c488.16$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.131,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Karmine Corp56c445.75$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.816339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Karmine Corp57c432.95$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.364055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Karmine Corp61c402.86$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0928965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp57c400.11$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9744046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Fnatic39c363.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5139055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Fnatic41c358.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1260849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…0bcebacked Fnatic39c338.92$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3a…9a83backed Fnatic46c338.66$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.882369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Fnatic43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9915255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Karmine Corp58c292.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.662646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Karmine Corp69c284.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2819052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Fnatic39c282.31$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.218967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Karmine Corp57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1316851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8050…a265backed Fnatic39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Fnatic44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12328253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp57c216.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.681,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Fnatic39c209.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.084168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e43…c9bebacked Fnatic46c208.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.876533.8%22 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Fnatic43c197.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7812349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed Fnatic39c177.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.494768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Karmine Corp58c172.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4942847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4863458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Karmine Corp58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.483046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4816858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Karmine Corp56c166.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4345366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Karmine Corp61c161.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d99…bf7fbacked Karmine Corp58c155.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Fnatic44c153.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.134960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fnatic39c149.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.332,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Karmine Corp56c139.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.413961.2%85 W · 54 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Fnatic39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.349060%54 W · 36 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Fnatic45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0915050%75 W · 75 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fnatic39c106.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.991,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Karmine Corp56c104.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4213537%50 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Karmine Corp56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5663646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Fnatic39c98.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2714454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Fnatic39c92.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.482955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp55c89.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9764435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp57c89.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7455744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Karmine Corp57c88.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4136047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Karmine Corp57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7128647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Fnatic41c76.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Karmine Corp58c75.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5334050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Karmine Corp57c74.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7431650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Fnatic39c74.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2118342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Fnatic44c72.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5947434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Karmine Corp56c69.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.946857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Karmine Corp56c69.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9438144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Karmine Corp58c67.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9922741%93 W · 134 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp56c66.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4741743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Fnatic44c66.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Fnatic44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.96544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Karmine Corp57c65.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.426063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Fnatic45c63.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.943548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Fnatic44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.756137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Fnatic44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Fnatic43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Karmine Corp59c49.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2712845.3%58 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fnatic39c48.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5523831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fnatic45c46.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0b1b…3d70backed Karmine Corp56c45.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.316154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Fnatic39c37.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Karmine Corp50c36.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.326142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Karmine Corp57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4846154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Fnatic50c29.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8124642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba27…6a7ebacked Karmine Corp55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.857352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Karmine Corp56c26.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.620463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Karmine Corp58c25.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2afa…890fbacked Karmine Corp58c25.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c8…60cabacked Fnatic44c25.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Fnatic43c23.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4439056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp56c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4425268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Karmine Corp49c20.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0722955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Karmine Corp57c20.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked Karmine Corp56c17.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.076968.1%47 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.