Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1680a46a4e190e9cbf8baf067c369c70a1bf2ca23afe8c73be16ad6d81991629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 37c | 6,283$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.32 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 63c | 3,900$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 63c | 3,256$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.86 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Over | 37c | 2,632$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.58 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 63c | 1,722$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.86 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 63c | 1,219$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 62c | 864.17$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.95 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Over | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 64c | 571.51$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.77 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…9a83backed Over | 74c | 453.62$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 26c | 445.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 54c | 366.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 65c | 361.93$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 27c | 322.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 317.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…b7b5backed Over | 36c | 133.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Under | 55c | 93.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 41c | 70.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 47.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 36c | 45.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 37c | 40.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…d191backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 43c | 23.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Under | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.